class: left, middle, inverse, title-slide # US Foreign Policy ## Multilateralism in US Foreign Policy ### Michael E. Flynn ### Kansas State University ### Updated: 2021-12-01 --- # Lecture Overview 1. Defining multilateralism 2. Historical review of multilateralism in US foreign policy 3. Costs and benefits 4. Why Multilateralism? --- class: center, middle, inverse # Defining Multilateralism --- class: left, top # Defining Multilateralism > **Multilateralism** refers to efforts to coordinate behavior between three or more actors. --- class: center, middle, inverse # Historical Overview --- class: left, top # Historical Overview Multilateralism in US foreign policy - For the most part, US foreign policy is mostly characterized by unilateralism through World War I - World War I marks a slight turn towards multilateralism, but there's a lot of resistance - After World War II multilateralism becomes a central component of US foreign policy --- class: left, top # Historical Overview Multilateralism in security, diplomatic, and economic affairs - North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) - United Nations (UN) - General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - World Bank --- class: center, middle, inverse # Costs and Benefits --- class: top, left # Costs and Benefits Multilateralism has a range of shorter-term benefits - Pooling resources - Distribute costs - Enhanced legitimacy -- But there are also costs - Decreased autonomy/constraints on behavior - Possible costs via side payments - More diffuse policy benefits --- class: center, middle <img src="multilateralism_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-1-1.png" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ??? # Notes - Example of burden sharing in AFghanistan and comparison case of Iraq - In Afghanistan US endured majority of casualties, but coalition partners also took on a sizeable share of casualties - In Iraq the US went in with relatively few partner states dedicated to combat operations - Note this doesn't include other areas of burden sharing like financial support --- class: center, middle <img src="multilateralism_files/figure-html/coalition fatalities percent-1.png" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ??? # Notes - Another example from Iraq and Afghanistan - US fatalities consistently high as a percentage of total fatalities in Iraq - In Afghanistan allied states suffered a much higher proportion of the total casualties over time, particularly during the "surge" years around 2009 and 2010. --- class: top, left # Costs and Benefits But even short-term tradeoffs can have long-term benefits The US was the dominant military and economic power following the War, but how best to wield that power? - A retreat from engagement to unilateralism like after World War I? - Assert dominant power to control other countries? - Something else? >**Liberal Hegemony**: A term coined by John Ikenberry to describe the nature of the international order that obtained following World War II where the US acted as the dominant power presiding over a rules-based international system to which it subordinated itself (at least in part). --- class: left, top # Costs and Benefits Multilateralism was part of a strategy to balance and advance multiple objectives - Secure Western allies - Deter Soviet aggression - Perpetuate the United States' dominant position for the long-term Liberal Hegemony entailed a few key components - US sacrificed some autonomy, binding itself to a set of rules-based arrangements in different policy areas - By binding itself the US obtained the buy-in from other countries, increasing the legitimacy and long-term viability of US-led projects --- class: center, middle, inverse # Why Multilateralism? --- class: left, top # Why Multilateralism? Lots of different and important issues, but what do they have in common? -- Well, there's a shared, fundamental problem underlying these issues -- Collective action and coordination problems --- class: left, top # Basic problems >**Collective Action Problems:** Interactions where individuals/groups would all benefit from cooperating to produce some good, but where individual players have an incentive to defect. >**Coordination Problems**: Coordination therefore, is the orderly arrangement of group effort, to provide unity of action in the pursuit of a common purpose. (Mooney 1947) > ALSO > [A] coordination problem exists if achievement of a particular organizational goal requires that each actor select the appropriate action, and the goal is not fully achieved if all members of the group do not select goal-fulfilling actions. (Camerer and Knez 1997) --- class: center, middle <table class="table" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <caption>Prisoner's Dilemma Example</caption> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> </th> <th style="text-align:center;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Cooperate </th> <th style="text-align:center;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Defect </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Cooperate </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 4,4 </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 1,5 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Defect </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 5,1 </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 2,2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- class: center, middle <table class="table" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <caption>Prisoner's Dilemma Example</caption> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> </th> <th style="text-align:center;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Cooperate </th> <th style="text-align:center;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Defect </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Cooperate </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> <span style=" color: black !important;">4,4</span> </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 1,5 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Defect </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> <span style=" color: red !important;">5,1</span> </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 2,2 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- class: center, middle <table class="table" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <caption>Prisoner's Dilemma Example</caption> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> </th> <th style="text-align:center;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Cooperate </th> <th style="text-align:center;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Defect </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Cooperate </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 4,4 </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> <span style=" color: red !important;">1,5</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Defect </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 5,1 </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> <span style=" color: black !important;">2,2</span> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- class: center, middle <table class="table" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <caption>Prisoner's Dilemma Example</caption> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> </th> <th style="text-align:center;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Cooperate </th> <th style="text-align:center;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Defect </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Cooperate </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 4,4 </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> <span style=" color: black !important;">1,5</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;font-weight: bold;color: white !important;background-color: #512888 !important;"> Defect </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> 5,1 </td> <td style="text-align:center;width: 3cm; "> <span style=" color: red !important;">2,2</span> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> --- class: left, top # Why Multilateralism? 1. Responding to adversaries 2. Trade and investment policy 3. Peacekeeping 4. Human rights and trafficking 5. Global climate change --- class: center, middle <img src="multilateralism_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-6-1.png" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- class: center, middle <img src="multilateralism_files/figure-html/CO2 emissions-1.png" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- class: center, middle <img src="multilateralism_files/figure-html/Adirondack suflate levels-1.png" style="display: block; margin: auto;" />